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Guides · Updated

Is There a Pilot Shortage in 2026? Forecasts and Job Outlook

Short answer: Demand forecasts remain strong. On Oct 14, 2026, Airbus said the industry needs 660,000 new pilots over 20 years. BLS projects U.S. airline and commercial pilot jobs will grow 7% from 2025 to 2035 (vs. 3% for all occupations), with about 16,400 openings a year, mostly from retirements and pilots leaving the field.

Global forecast

Airbus's services forecast says aviation will need 2.44 million new workers over two decades, including 660,000 pilots, 1.05 million cabin crew and 730,000 maintenance workers (Reuters (Oct 14, 2026)).

U.S. outlook

The BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook projects 7% growth from 2025 to 2035, with about 16,400 openings a year. There were 154,900 airline and commercial pilot jobs in 2025.

BLS May 2025 median pay: airline pilots $232,140, commercial pilots $123,220
Source: BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook, OEWS May 2025.

What it means by segment

Helicopter EMS hiring is concentrated among a few operators: Air Methods accounted for 43 of 69 openings on WingedPilot. Regional airline starting pay is now about $93–$107/hr. Note that long-term forecasts can change with the economy.

FAQ

Is there a pilot shortage in 2026?

Forecasts point to sustained demand. Airbus projects 660,000 new pilots needed over 20 years, and BLS projects 7% U.S. job growth (2025–35) with about 16,400 openings a year.

How many pilot jobs are in the U.S.?

BLS counted 154,900 airline and commercial pilot jobs in 2025.

Related guides

Data checked Oct 2026. Pay and postings change, so verify with the employer. Estimates are labeled.